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A new poll indicates a group of Joe Biden's staunchest supporters - black Americans - are not feeling very enthusiastic about voting in 2024, possibly spelling trouble for the president's re-election effort.
After losing the first two primaries in 2020, black voters handed Biden his first primary victory in South Carolina.
That watershed moment supercharged Biden's campaign and helped him beat out a crowded field to secure the nomination and later the presidency. Over 80 percent of black voters backed Biden in 2020.
Now, as Biden has a firm grip on the Democrat party as he heads into a rematch against former President Donald Trump, that cohort of black voters may not show up.
A poll released Monday from In Our Own Voice: National Black Women’s Reproductive Justice Agenda with PerryUndem found that just 59 percent of black voters are 'almost certain' to vote this fall and 12 percent 'will probably' vote.
The results indicate that around 40 percent of black voters are not certain they will cast votes in the 2024 elections.
President Joe Biden relied on votes from black Americans to secure his win in 2020
Rep. Jim Clyburn, D-S.C., helped Biden with black voters in his home state in 2020, setting up the campaign for a victory march to the Democrat nomination
Additionally, 30 percent of respondents indicated the upcoming elections are not that important.
And as Biden has ostracized some potential supporters over his stance on the Israel-Hamas war, some voters revealed they have considered withholding their vote as an act of protest.
Nearly 20 percent said they have considered withholding their vote, according to the poll.
That number shoots up to 25 percent among younger voters.
Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict heavily divided black voters with a third approving of his response, a third disapproving and a third unsure.
The poll, which surveyed over 1,000 black adults, also provided insights into how the president is performing with younger votes.
Only 38 percent of voters aged 18 to 29 said they were almost certain to vote, while just 17 percent indicated they will probably vote.
That means that nearly half of black voters in that age group are not committed to voting this cycle.
When asked if they had to vote immediately, just 44 percent of young black voters responded they would vote for Democrats.
Of that group, 37 percent said they were unsure or they would not vote.
When accounting for all those surveyed, 63 percent have a favorable view of Joe Biden while 35 percent view him unfavorably.
The number one issue for black voters in 2024 is the cost of living.
Racial justice, health care and education also ranked among the top voting concerns.
U.S. President Joe Biden greets a family for a conversation about student loan debt forgiveness
Former President Donald Trump has recently gained support among black voters
Trump, on the other hand, has surged with black voters recently.
A March poll from the New York Times/Siena showed that 23 percent of black voters would vote for the former president.
A similar poll conducted by the same firms in July 2023 found that 12 percent of black voters would vote for Trump, indicating he is picking up votes as his campaign charges on.
Further, a December AP-NORC poll found that 25 percent of black voters approved of Trump, up from 18 percent in 2021.
In the 2020 election, just eight percent of black Americans voted for Trump, according to Pew Research data.