2024 presidential election live updates: Shock poll reveals chances of a huge upset in state Republicans haven't won since 2004

Vice President Kamala Harris is just two points ahead of Donald Trump in Virginia, a state Republicans haven’t won since 2004, a new poll shows.

The University of Mary Washington survey found Harris at 48 percent and Trump at 46 percent in a two-way race.

The results are in the margin area, and suggests the race could be much closer than its current projection.

Real Clear Politics has Harris leading by an average of 4.5 points, while Decision Desk HQ gives the VP a 90 percent chance of winning.

Stephen J. Farnsworth, director of the university’s Center for Leadership and Media Studies, said:

This new survey suggests Virginia should be getting a much closer look from both presidential campaigns.

Virginia may deserve to be treated as a ‘swing state’ once again this year.

Texas Republican Senator Ted Cruz is trailing his Democratic challenger Colin Allred in a shocking new poll that could signal trouble for the longtime lawmaker.

According to a Morning Consult survey released Friday, Allred has a one-point advantage over Cruz at 45% to 44%.

It comes after Donald Trump adviser Chris LaCivita wrote on X earlier this week: 'What the hell is wrong with the Senate race in Texas? I think i know …and i think i know his name ….time to get some real professionals in to save @tedcruz'

Cruz is still expected to keep his seat and has held a lead over Allred in all previous polls.

The Cook Political Report maintains that the race is still 'likely Republican.'

Journalist Ryan Lizza said he has split from fiancee Olivia Nuzzi in first comments since she was accused of having an affair with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Lizza, the co-author of Politico Playbook, released a brief statement in the Friday afternoon edition of the newsletter confirming he would no longer be covering the former independent presidential candidate.

The outlet's 50-year-old Chief Washington Correspondent also confirmed he had broken off his engagement to 31-year-old Nuzzi.

'Because of my connection to this story through my ex-fiancée, my editors and I have agreed that I won't be involved in any coverage of Kennedy in Playbook or elsewhere at POLITICO,' Lizza wrote.

As Washington woke up to news of the scandal on Friday morning, Playbook didn't mention Status news' Oliver Darcy's story on the alleged affair.

But hours later in their Mediawatch section they covered the story, and included Lizza's statement.

New York Magazine's Olivia Nuzzi came close to being tossed off Air Force Two the day before the 2020 election.

The star reporter is currently on leave from the magazine after it was revealed that she engaged in an alleged romantic affair with former independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. - which she claims was non-physical.

Four years ago, she made waves when traveling with Vice President Mike Pence and his family.

'She was the most disrespectful person I've ever worked with,' a former Pence aide told DailyMail.com, suggesting Nuzzi only took the assignment to 'mock everyone openly.'

The New York Magazine correspondent was chosen to be Pence's print 'pool' reporter for the day, traveling to Michigan on November 2 so the VP could join President Donald Trump onstage for the final rallies of the 2020 cycle.

New York Magazine's Washington Correspondent Olivia Nuzzi first gained notoriety as a 20-year-old intern for disgraced Rep. Anthony Weiner's misbegotten 2013 mayoral campaign.

She's now at the center of a scandal with former independent presidential Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who she has an alleged 'non-physical' affair.

Nuzzi first got a taste of front page headlines when she wrote a story for the New York Daily News about her experience interning for Weiner, whose sexting scandal forced him to resign from Congress in 2011.

Two years later, the loud-mouthed Democrat, who was married to Hillary Clinton's top aide, Huma Abedin, launched a bid to become New York City mayor, which was also derailed by a sexting scandal.

Nuzzi spent a month working for Weiner and wrote about her experience for the New York Daily News.

The Secret Service said in a statement:

On Sept. 20 at approximately 12:15 p.m. an individual scaled the north side fence of the Eisenhower Executive Office Building and was arrested by U.S. Secret Service Uniformed Division officers.

The individual never entered the building and there was no impact to any protectees. The person was transported to George Washington Hospital for medical evaluation.

Former President Donald Trump says he's committed to keeping vapes available on the market.

He took to Truth Social to post about how he plans to continue to be a 'savior' for vaping if reelected:

I saved Flavored Vaping in 2019, and it greatly helped people get off smoking.

I raised the age to 21, keeping it away from the “kids.”

Kamala and Joe want everything banned, killing small businesses all over the Country. I’ll save Vaping again!

A House bill to strip federal funding from so-called 'sanctuary cities' that house illegal migrants passed today.

A dozen Democrats voted with Republicans to send the measure to the Senate, but nearly 200 voted against it.

That is a sure line of attack that the GOP will take with them on the campaign trail ahead of the election.

The Kamala Harris campaign has released a new television ad featuring controversial Republican candidate for governor of North Carolina.

The ad features Trump praising Robinson, describing him as 'better than Martin Luther King Jr' and an 'unbelievable Lt. Governor.'

It also focuses on Robinson's remarks about abortion.

'For me, there is no compromise on abortion,' a clip of Robinson says and “we could pass a bill and say, ‘You can’t have an abortion in North Carolina for any reason.’”

'Donald Trump and Mark Robinson, they're both wrong for North Carolina,' the ad concludes.

The ad does not feature Robinson's resurfaced comments reported by CNN describing himself as a 'black Nazi' on a porn forum profile connected to his name as well as other lewd comments.

Robinson denied the report, telling CNN, 'This is not us. These are not our words. And this is not anything that is characteristic of me.'

He suggested the information was 'manufactured.'

'I’m not going to get into the minutia of how somebody manufactured this, these salacious tabloid lies,' he added.

Secret Service Acting Director Secret Service Acting Director Ronald Rowe said about his agency's short five-page initial findings of the investigation into the deadly rally:

It’s important that we hold ourselves to account for the failures of July 13th and that we use the lessons learned to make sure that we do not have another mission failure like this again.

The report summary runs through 'communications deficiencies' that allowed Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, to shoot former President Donald Trump from a nearby building.

He also shot and killed a retired firefighter and injured several others in the crowd.

The summary of the report states that there were several 'communications deficiencies' that led to the shooting:

A consistent theme gathered from state and local law enforcement personnel who helped secure the Butler rally was the presence of communications deficiencies.

The failure of personnel to broadcast via radio the description of the assailant, or vital information received from local law enforcement regarding a suspicious individual on the roof of the AGR complex, to all federal personnel at the Butler site inhibited the collective awareness of all Secret Service personnel.

This failure was especially acute in terms of [Trump's] protective detail, who were not apprised of how focused state and local law enforcement were in the minutes leading up to the attack on locating the suspicious subject.

If this information was passed over Secret Service radio frequencies it would have allowed [Trump's] protective detail to determine whether to move their protectee while the search for the suspicious suspect was in progress.

Georgia's Republican-controlled state election board voted on Friday to require a labor-intensive hand count of potentially millions of ballots in November's election, a move voting rights advocates say could cause delays, introduce errors and lay the groundwork for spurious election challenges.

The hand count rule, passed in a 3-2 vote, will make Georgia the only state in the U.S. to implement such a requirement as part of the normal process of tabulating results, according to Gowri Ramachandran, the director of elections and security at New York University's Brennan Center for Justice, a left-leaning public policy institute.

Georgia is one of seven battleground states likely to determine the Nov. 5 contest between Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and his Democratic opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris.

The state's five-member board has passed a slew of election law changes in recent months, powered by three conservative members praised by Trump.

Civil rights groups say those changes could allow rogue county election board members to delay or deny certification of election results, throwing the state's vote into chaos.

Democrats have filed a lawsuit challenging two of the certification rules, and a state judge has scheduled a non-jury trial for October 1.

(with reporting from Reuters)

The House Judiciary Committee has opened a probe into an Iranian hacking scheme.

According to the FBI, Iranian hackers offered information it stole from Trump's campaign to President Joe Biden when he was still the 2024 candidate up against the former president.

Microsoft revealed in August that hackers tied to the Iranian government have for months been trying to influence the presidential election.

And on Wednesday, the FBI claimed the cyber-terrorists sent unsolicited emails containing stolen information from the Trump campaign to people connected to the Democratic president in an effort to interfere.

The Committee is requesting the following information:

What material did Iran obtain from President Trump's campaign?

To whom at the Biden for President or the Harris for President campaigns did the hackers send information and materials?

On what date did the FBI learn there had been a hack and exfiltration of nonpublic information from President Trump's campaign?

On what date(s) did Iran provide the stolen documents to the Biden for President campaign or the Harris for President campaign?

On what date did the FBI first inform President Trump's campaign it had been hacked?

Did the FBI use any Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act authorities to surveil President Trump's campaign?

President Joe Biden held his first cabinet meeting in almost a year on Friday, and invited First Lady Jill Biden for remarks.

The 81-year-old summoned his cabinet secretaries in a bid to speed up his agenda in the final months of his presidency.

In a surprise move, he gave the room to wife Dr. Biden. She said that the White House sometimes 'surprises' her and wanted to spotlight the inqeuities in funding for medical research for women.

Taylor Swift's reputation may have never been worse, at least with Republicans, new polling finds after the megastar endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris for president.

The exclusive DailyMail.com poll conducted by J.L. Partners shows the full extent of the global superstars bad blood with the GOP after weighing in on the 2024 race earlier this month.

It found Swift has become a victim of polarization with 57 percent of Republicans holding a negative view of the 34-year-old global superstar while 71 percent of Democrats have a positive view of the 'The Tortured Poets Department' singer.

Among Independents, 50 percent have a favorable or somewhat favorable view of the singer while 27 percent had a negative view of her.

Former President Donald Trump is heightening concerns about illegal migrants voting in the 2024 election in a new Truth Social post.

His alarm comes after a Republican-led funding bill with ban on noncitizen voting failed on the House floor on Wednesday.

Trump has inserted himself in the middle of the government funding showdown, encouraging a government shutdown if the SAVE Act is not part of the package.

The SAVE Act is a bill that would crack down on noncitizen voting in the upcoming election by requiring proof of citizenship.

Senior campaign advisor Corey Lewandowski quickly deleted a post sharing a sensational report alleging that journalist Olivia Nuzzi had an online affair with Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

Lewandowski, who helmed Trump's 2016 campaign for part of his run and rejoined his effort this summer, shared an article by Status news headlined: 'Olivia Nuzzi on leave from New York magazine after RFK relationship.'

That came Thursday night shortly before the star correspondent told DailyMail.com that 'the nature of some communication between myself and a former reporting subject turned personal' after she visited his home for a feature story. She said the relationship never got physical, but the magazine has placed her on leave.

The longtime Trump advisor might have been unable to resist the chance to settle a grudge, perhaps without realizing that doing so might not reflect well on the Trump campaing.

The House of Representatives voted 405-0 Friday morning to give presidential candidates the same level of security as presidents.

It comes just days after the second assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump's life.

The bill mandates that the head of the Secret Service apply 'uniform standards' for protecting presidents, vice presidents and major presidential and vice presidential candidates.

It is unclear whether the Senate will pass the legislation or if President Biden would sign it.

GOP firebrand is again in the middle of controversy for alleged sex crimes.

The bombshell details come as Gaetz's friend, lobbyist Chris Dorworth, is trying to drop a civil lawsuit against their mutual friend Joel Greenberg for tarnishing his reputation.

In 2022, Greenberg was sentenced to 11 years in prison for sex trafficking a minor.

According to new court documents released overnight, a witness allegedly saw Gaetz and a 17-year-old high school girl at a party that his ex-girlfriend also attended in 2017.

The witness claimed in a sworn document that the girl was 'naked' and attendees were engaging 'in sexual activities.'

In addition, 'alcohol, cocaine, ecstasy and marijuana' were prevalent at the event.

Gaetz has denied all of the allegations that have long swirled around him, including paying for sex.

'The person doesn’t exist. I have not had a relationship with a 17-year-old. That is totally false,' he said on Tucker Carlson's show in 2021.

The Department of Justice previously investigated Gaetz for alleged sex trafficking a minor but informed him they would not bring charges in 2023 after issues of witness credibility.

The House Ethics Committee is still conducting 'further review' into Gaetz on charges that include sex abuse and illicit drug use.

Former Vice President Mike Pence's Advancing American Freedom is putting a staggering amount of money behind a push to keep Trump-era tax cuts in place.

We will be urging conservative leaders to join us in this fight.

According to a 13-page plan, the foundation will target swing state voters, particularly in states that could decide control of the Senate.

The campaign plans to span into 2025 and impact Congress as it considers whether to make changes to the tax code.

President Joe Biden has said he wants to keep cuts for Americans who make under $400K every year.

But his proposal includes raises on taxes for the wealthy. Kamala Harris is expected to mirror similar policies.

Pence said in a statement:

Washington has a spending problem, not a revenue problem. Our national debt is out of control, and taxing the American people more is not the solution.

Rep. Nancy Mace spent the day Thursday skewering CNN guest Michael Eric Dyson, revealing private text messages that he sent her after the pair had a fiery exchange over the proper way to pronounce Vice President Kamala Harris' name.

The Uncommitted National Movement said Thursday that the group would not formally endorse Vice President Kamala Harris' presidential campaign, which could impact her chances in the key state of Michigan.

In a lengthy statement, leaders made clear they didn't support former President Donald Trump and didn't want followers of the movement to vote third-party.

'[E]specially as third party votes in key swing states could help inadvertently deliver a Trump presidency given our country's broken electoral college system,' the statement said.

Donald Trump is leading Kamala Harris by a slim margin in the critical battleground of Georgia with just 46 days until Election Day.

FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker has him one point up while Real Clear Politics has him 1.7 points in the lead.

Yet forecasters still have her projected to win the state, helping her path to victory on what will be a nail-biting night.

FiveThirtyEight gives her a 51 percent chance of winning the state, while Trump has a 49 percent chance.

Nate Silver, another top pollster, gives Trump the edge.

Kamala Harris reaffirmed that she's a gun owner and will fire away if anyone tries to sneak into her house.

The vice president made the statement in an attempt to burnish her credentials as a 'common sense' gun control candidate during her hour-and-a-half long livestream fundraiser with Oprah Winfrey.

'If somebody breaks into my house, they're getting shot,' she said, before showing off her trademark cackle.

She then expressed regret, similar to how her boss Joe Biden would try to take back foolish statements: 'I probably should not have said that. My staff will deal with that later.'

The statement made headlines on social media, including an immediately condemnation from the National Rifle Association, who accused her of being a 'walking contradiction'.

A star political reporter for New York magazine has been placed on leave following an alleged affair with Robert F. Kennedy Jr, that began when she visited his $7 million aliforniahome to write a feature article.

Washington correspondent Olivia Nuzzi admitted that 'the nature of some communication between myself and a former reporting subject turned personal', in a statement to DailyMail.com.

She also claimed the relationship was never physical.

Her editors confirmed that the other party was a 'former subject relevant to the 2024 campaign'. Status reports that the affair was with the former presidential hopeful, who is married to actress Cheryl Hines.

RFK Jr., 70, has insisted he only met the political journalist once when she did a profile on him last year.

'Mr. Kennedy only met Olivia Nuzzi once in his life for an interview she requested, which yielded a hit piece,' his spokesman told CNN. A source added that the nature of the relationship was 'emotional and digital in nature, not physical'.

The Trump campaign has sought to tie Kamala Harris to the border crisis, three years of inflation, and the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Her own campaign has tried to link her to controlling drug prices and economic growth.

Both efforts seem to be working, according to a J.L. Partners/DailyMail.com which found high proportions of voters blamed her or credited her for a slew of policies implemented during her time as Joe Biden's vice president.

In particular, 60 percent of likely voters said was very or somewhat responsible for the record number of crossings at the southern border.

The Trump campaign sees that as a winning issue.